Powered By Blogger

Friday, October 31, 2008

My full predictions - Updated

This is how I think this election is going to shape up, everything counted down to the very last electoral vote.

This list is based upon several polls publicized by CNN, and is updated as of 11/3
  • Alabama - McCain, 9EV's
  • Alaska - McCain, 3EV's (Land of Palin)
  • Arizona - McCain, 10EV's (Land of McCain)
  • Arkansas - McCain, 6EV's
  • California - Obama, 55EV's
  • Colorado - Obama, 9EV's
  • Connecticut - Obama, 7EV's
  • Delaware - Obama, 3EV's (Represented by Biden)
  • Florida - Obama, 27EV's
  • Georgia - McCain, 15EV's
  • Hawaii - Obama, 4EV's (Land of Obama)
  • Idaho - McCain, 4EV's
  • Illinois - Obama, 21EV's (Represented by Obama)
  • Indiana - McCain,* - 11EV's
  • Iowa - Obama, 7EV's
  • Kansas - McCain, 6EV's
  • Kentucky - McCain 8EV's
  • Louisiana - McCain 9EV's
  • Maine - Obama, 4EV's, McCain 0EV's (Winner does NOT necessarily take all in this state.)
  • Maryland - Obama, 10EV's
  • Massachusetts - Obama, 12EV's
  • Michigan - Obama, 17EV's
  • Minnesota - Obama, 10EV's
  • Mississippi - McCain, 11EV's
  • Missouri - McCain,* 11EV's
  • Montana - McCain, 3 EV's
  • Nebraska - McCain, 5EV's
  • Nevada - Obama, 5EV's
  • New Hampshire - Obama, 4EV's
  • New Jersey - Obama, 15EV's
  • New Mexico - Obama, 5EV's
  • New York - Obama, 31EV's
  • North Carolina - Obama McCain, 15EV's
  • North Dakota - Obama, 3EV's
  • Ohio - Obama, 20EV's
  • Oklahoma - McCain, 7EV's
  • Oregon - Obama, 7EV's
  • Pennsylvania - Obama, 21EV's (Land of Biden)
  • Rhode Island - Obama, 4EV's
  • South Carolina - McCain, 8EV's
  • South Dakota - McCain, 3EV's
  • Tennessee - McCain, 11EV's
  • Texas - McCain, 34EV's
  • Utah, McCain, 5EV's
  • Vermont - Obama, 3EV's
  • Virginia - Obama, 13EV's
  • Washington - Obama, 11EV's
  • West Virginia - McCain, 5EV's
  • Wisconsin - Obama, 10EV's
  • Wyoming, McCain, 3EV's
Conclusion: Barack Obama wins decisive victory, nearly 2:1 over John McCain. Never did I think it would be this close, but after checking the polls and doing the math, it's...
McCain: 182 217
Obama: 356  321
Update 11/3, NC to McCain; race is tightening greatly.
States with an asterisk (*) are WAY too close for any human being to call, and I went simply on past voting tradition and a hunch.
States in bold and underlined are large wins. This is my prediction, and I may amend it up to this Monday, November 3rd. Let's see how close I am!

0 comments: